Fri 17 Feb 2012, 10:40 GMT

Global Vision Market Report



Crude futures are slightly bullish this morning on optimistic US economy figures, and surging stock markets. Crude has jumped from $96 earlier this month as a surge in stock markets suggests investor confidence in the U.S. economic outlook is improving. The U.S. Labor Department said weekly applications for unemployment benefits dropped for the fourth time in five weeks to the lowest point since March 2008.

Oil futures at ICE and NYMEX started the day with a slightly bearish tone, consolidating in early morning trading hours and easing after a short rebound on a weaker euro that was affected at this time of the day by worries over the Greek bailout. When support lines proved strong, however, and a string of better-than-expected US indicators in the afternoon tempted traders to invest into riskier assets, the euro rebounded and equity markets jumped, taking oil prices with them. Supply worries in face of declining oil exports of the Yemen, the Republic of South Sudan and possibly Iran helped the European benchmark brent, that is more susceptible to supply disruptions than the WTI, to a fresh 8-month high at 120.63 dollars.

ICE Gasoil contract for March delivery settled at 1,004.00 dollars on Thursday. This was 1.75 dollars below Wednesday's settlement. With some 82,600 contracts the traded volume was well above average.

The Stochastic oscillator at the Brent and the gasoil chart is still giving bullish signals, but its two lines are converging for the brent. The WTI's indicator is still neutral, see also technical analysis. The strong uptrends and the bullish Stochastic signal a continuation of the bullish tendency, even though there is little upside at the gasoil chart until first resistance lines are hit and its RSI indicator is set to breach the 70% line. Should it fall through, the overbought market situation would favour a downward correction but support lines are seen strong.

U.S.

Nymex acces gaining. Oil futures are consolidating with a bullish tone in Asian trading hours and on Globex electronic trading platform this morning, taking their breath after Thursday's gains. The traded volume is well above average, but investors' focus is already set on the new WTI front month April, the contract for March delivery expiring Tuesday. Market participants will eye equity and forex markets and some European and US indicators today.

Houston (ex-wharf indications 15-2)

380cst $714
180cst $755
MGO $1053

Very tight avails for 180 cst

New Orleans (ex-wharf indications 15-2)

380cst $716
180cst $757
MGO $1056

Singapore (correct as of 1430hrs LT - delivered indications)

Crude is bouncing back up with WTI +$1.64 Singapore paper is reflecting it with +$8.00 for 180cst and +$8.50 for 380cst for Mar, and for Apr 180 cst +$8.00 and 380cst +$8.50 with MGO Mar contracts at +$1.15 and for Apr +$1.14. The cargo market is slowly reacting, with 180cst +$0.13, 380cst -$1.04 and MGO +$0.27.

High premiums for prompt deliveries.

380 cst $730
180 cst $742
MGO $1012

ARA (Amsterdam - Rotterdam - Antwerp)

Sentiment in the ARA was mixed, with surging crude further tightening the markets. The Antwerp pilot strikes and the slow motion actions are still causing much delays. HSFO availability in Rotterdam remained tight, with prompt barge delays were still a feature of the market, with some buyers waiting as long as seven days. Meanwhile, adding to the tightness of LSFO in Antwerp, vessel experience delays caused by industrial action by ship pilots.

Rotterdam

Indications for delivered bunkers:

380cst : $ 691
(1.0 %) :$ 717
180cst: $ 710
(1.0 %):$ 738
MGO 0.1%S: $1002

MGO  

Areion vessel. Dorian LPG takes delivery of dual-fuel VLGC capable of carrying ammonia  

The 93,000-cbm Areion can run on LPG or fuel oil and transport ammonia cargoes.

FSRU Toscana alongside Green Zeebrugge vessel. RINA awards ISCC EU certification to OLT Offshore LNG Toscana for bio-LNG supply  

Certification enables bio-LNG use in the EU as a renewable fuel under RED II and RED III directives.

World Shipping Council at IMO meeting. WSC calls for safe maritime corridor as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped in the Persian Gulf  

Industry body urges IMO member states to establish safe passage and supply access.

Graphic promoting Auramarine webinar titled 'Sustainable Fueling Part 3: Ammonia - next alternative fuel in marine'. Auramarine to host webinar on ammonia as marine fuel in April  

Finnish firm will explore ammonia’s role in maritime decarbonisation at its third spring webinar.

Front cover of study by WinGD and Envision Energy titled 'Renewable Fuel Economics: An OPEX illustration based on current costs'. Green ammonia could reach cost parity with VLSFO and LNG by 2050, study finds  

WinGD and Envision Energy study projects green ammonia operational costs competitive with conventional marine fuels.

Elenger Marine's LNG bunkering vessel Optimus alongside Brittany Ferries’ Saint-Malo. Bureau Veritas verifies methane emissions on Brittany Ferries’ LNG vessels  

Verification enables ferry operator to report measured methane slip instead of regulatory default values.

Map showing existing and planned Emission Control Areas (ECAs). Alliance calls for urgent black carbon action as new Arctic emission control areas take effect  

Canadian Arctic and Norwegian Sea ECAs now in force, with compliance deadline set for March 2027.

Artistic impression of battery-electric ferry for operation on Perth’s Swan River. Lloyd’s Register to class Western Australia’s first electric ferry fleet  

Echo Marine Group partners with Lloyd’s Register on five battery-electric ferries for Perth’s Swan River.

Thomas Kazakos, secretary general of The International Chamber of Shipping (ICS). ICS condemns Middle East shipping attacks as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped  

Industry body calls for urgent state action to resupply vessels and enable crew changes.

Molslinjen ferry illustration. Molslinjen order propels Australia to top of battery vessel production rankings  

Danish ferry operator’s three-catamaran order at Incat Tasmania shifts global manufacturing landscape, analysis shows.