Wed 28 Nov 2018, 08:57 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Oil prices rose by more than 1 percent on Wednesday ahead of an OPEC meeting next week at which the producer club is expected to decide some form of supply cut to counter an emerging glut. The shutdown of Britain's largest North Sea oilfield for repairs also supported prices, traders said. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $52.24 per barrel at 06:07 GMT, up 68 cents, or 1.3 percent from their last settlement. International Brent crude oil futures were up 78 cents, or 1.3 percent, at $60.99 per barrel.

The Buzzard oilfield, which pumps about 150,000 barrels per day (bpd), has closed temporarily after the discovery of pipe corrosion. As a result, trade sources said three cargoes due to load in December had been cancelled. "The shutdown ... is reducing supply of a North Sea crude that helps set global prices," said Sukrit Vijayakar, director of energy consultancy Trifecta, referring to Buzzards's role in the settlement of Brent futures. Despite Wednesday's rise, oil prices have still lost around 30 percent in value since early October, weighed down by an emerging supply overhang and by widespread weakness in financial markets.

The crude oil price slump since October is so far on par with the 2008 price crash and steeper than that of 2014/2015. "I don’t believe it" could be your response, just like Trumps comments on climate change.

Fuel Oil Market (Nov 26)

The front crack opened at -3.65, strengthening to -3.60, before weakening to -3.90. The Cal 19 was trading between - 10.40 and -10.65 throughout the day


Window Trades
- No cargo trades were reported in the Singapore trading window.

Reflecting expectations of a tighter supply outlook in December, the 380 cSt front-month time spread was also slightly higher on Tuesday at about $11.60 a tonne on Tuesday, from $11.25 a tonne on Monday, the broker sources said.

Economic Events:

* 12am: MBA Mortgage Applications, Nov. 23

* 1:30pm: U.S. Advance Goods Trade Balance, Oct.

* 1:30pm: U.S. Wholesale Inventories, Oct (prelim.)

* 1:30pm: U.S. GDP, 3Q

* 3pm: U.S. New Home Sales, Oct.

* 3pm: U.S. Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, Nov.

* 3:30pm: EIA weekly U.S. oil inventory report; TopLive blog starts 3:20pm

* Permian Midstream 2018 Takeaway Capacity & Infrastructure Congress, Houston, 1st day of 2

* CERI Breakfast on IMO Rules, Calgary

* Bloomberg NEF APAC summit in Shanghai, final day

* Genscape weekly ARA crude stockpiles report

* EARNINGS: Lukoil PJSC

Singapore 380 cSt

Dec18 - 398.25 / 400.25

Jan19 - 386.75 / 388.75

Feb19 - 378.75 / 380.75

Mar19 - 373.00 / 375.00

Apr19 - 367.75 / 369.75

May19 - 362.25 / 364.25

Q1-19 - 379.50 / 381.50

Q2-19 - 361.75 / 363.75

Q3-19 - 342.50 / 345.00

Q4-19 - 314.25 / 316.75

CAL19 - 353.25 / 356.25

CAL20 - 294.75 / 300.75

Singapore 180 cSt

Dec18 - 402.50 / 404.50

Jan19 - 391.25 / 393.25

Feb19 - 384.50 / 386.50

Mar19 - 379.75 / 381.75

Apr19 - 376.00 / 378.00

May19 - 371.00 / 373.00

Q1-19 - 385.25 / 387.25

Q2-19 - 370.50 / 372.50

Q3-19 - 353.75 / 356.25

Q4-19 - 330.50 / 333.00

CAL19 - 364.25 / 367.25

CAL20 - 315.75 / 321.75

Rotterdam 3.5%

Dec18 - 359.00 / 361.00

Jan19 - 351.50 / 353.50

Feb19 - 346.75 / 348.75

Mar19 - 342.00 / 344.00

Apr19 - 337.25 / 339.25

May19 - 332.50 / 334.50

Q1-19 - 346.75 / 348.75

Q2-19 - 332.75 / 334.75

Q3-19 - 313.75 / 316.25

Q4-19 - 283.00 / 285.50

CAL19 - 323.00 / 326.00

CAL20 - 270.50 / 276.50

0.1% Rott barges Gasoil

Dec18 - 569.01 / 571.01

Jan19 - 561.64 / 563.64

Feb19 - 561.00 / 563.00

Mar19 - 561.42 / 563.42

Apr19 - 561.96 / 563.96

May19 - 563.54 / 565.54

Q1-19 - 561.85 / 563.85

Q2-19 - 563.77 / 565.77

Q3-19 - 570.81 / 573.31

Q4-19 - 576.46 / 579.46

CAL19 - 566.41 / 570.41

CAL20 - 574.42 / 580.42

Sing GO 10ppm

Dec18 - 75.00 / 75.20

Jan19 - 75.40 / 75.60

Feb19 - 75.70 / 75.90

Mar19 - 75.90 / 76.10

Apr19 - 76.02 / 76.22

May19 - 76.09 / 76.29

Q1-19 - 75.57 / 75.97

Q2-19 - 75.82 / 76.22

Q3-19 - 76.67 / 76.97

Q4-19 - 77.42 / 77.82

CAL19 - 76.25 / 76.85

CAL20 - 77.81 / 78.41

BP  

Bunker vessel alongside a ship during fuel transfer. Nippon Biofuel secures METI funding for Africa-based marine biofuel supply chain  

Japanese company to establish Jatropha cultivation and biofuel production facilities in Mozambique and Ghana.

Everllence B&W 6G60ME-LGIA HPSCR engine. Everllence’s ammonia-fuelled engine passes factory acceptance test ahead of October delivery  

Engine built by HHI-EMD will power Eastern Pacific Shipping’s very large ammonia carriers.

LPC and Gram Marine launch operations in Cameroon graphic. LPC and Gram Marine launch marine lubricants hub in Cameroon  

Partnership will supply Cyclon and Avin Oil marine lubricants to vessels at West African ports.

Melchior Poszumski, Bunker One. Bunker One expands ULSFO 0.10% supply across northern Germany  

Supplier adds Weser River ports to network, including Bremerhaven, Bremen, Brake, and Nordenham.

Partnership signing between NYK Line, Golden Island and Yara Clean Ammonia. NYK Line, Golden Island and Yara Clean Ammonia sign term sheet for Singapore ammonia bunkering venture  

Three companies agree to explore marketing and supply of low-carbon ammonia fuel in Singapore.

International Maritime Organization (IMO) headquarters. IMO committee to discuss Net-Zero Framework and North-East Atlantic NOx ECA  

MEPC 84 to consider 57 documents submitted for consideration on the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.

Constantinos Capetanakis, Star Bulk. Capetanakis: Bunker Buyers Working Group not a pricing forum  

Past Chair says aim of working group is to ensure the perspective of buyers is reflected in policy work.

Petronor and H2SITE agreement signing. Petronor and H2SITE to deploy membrane technology for hydrogen separation at Spanish refinery  

Partnership aims to integrate membrane reactor into steam methane reforming process to enhance efficiency.

Peninsula 30 Years graphic. Peninsula marks 30 years of marine fuel supply operations  

Bunker supplier's network now covers more than 50 physical supply ports and 21 commercial offices.

Kurotakisan Maru III vessel. MOL completes world’s first retrofit installation of Wind Challenger sail system on operating coal carrier  

Hard-sail propulsion system installed on Kurotakisan Maru III during service for J-Power coal transport operations.