Wed 14 Nov 2018, 09:38 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were down 36 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $65.11 per barrel at 06:00 GMT and U.S. WTI crude oil futures were at $55.26 per barrel, down 43 cents, or 0.8 percent, from their last settlement. Well, this market looks like it has a bigger discount than a pound shop's closing-down sale. The support seems to have evaporated almost completely - like a rug being pulled from underneath - as it's reported that the funds have shed their already dwindling long positions. We hovered just over $65 late yesterday in a day's trading that was oil's most bearish since December 2015. The drop in oil has been underlined by weaknesses in the global economy. In Japan, data confirmed the world's third-largest economy contracted in the third quarter, adding to growing signs of weakness globally, with China and Europe losing momentum. Germany is expected to report later in the day that its economy also shrank last quarter. Our friends at the API reported last night that crude stocks climbed by 7.8 million barrels in another predicted build in stocks - which I'm sure hasn't helped any pushes for a recovery after prices have taken a pounding. Hello $65, my old friend, looks like you might be around for a little while... until December perhaps.

Fuel Oil Market (Nov 13)

The front crack opened at -5.95, strengthening to -5.75, before weakening to -5.80. The Cal 19 was valued at -12.50.

Oil price reporting agency Argus has launched five new price assessments for low-sulphur marine fuels, ahead of new global rules capping the amount of sulphur in marine fuels.

The front-month 380 cSt fuel oil barge crack to Brent crude slipped on Tuesday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with some trade sources pointing to an expected rise in arbitrage arrivals into Singapore.

The December 380 cSt fuel oil barge crack to Brent crude was at a two-week low of minus $6.26 a barrel on Tuesday, compared with a discount of $6.14 a barrel on Monday.

Economic Events:

* 9am: IEA monthly Oil Market Report

* 12am: MBA Mortgage Applications, Nov. 9

* 1:30pm: U.S. CPI, Oct.

* 1:30pm: U.S. Real Avg Weekly Earnings, Oct.

* 9:30pm: API issues weekly U.S. oil inventory report (day later due to holiday)

* Genscape weekly ARA crude stockpiles report

* Adipec conference, Abu Dhabi, 3rd day of 4

Singapore 380 cSt

Dec18 - 419.75 / 421.75

Jan19 - 409.25 / 411.25

Feb19 - 400.75 / 402.75

Mar19 - 394.75 / 396.75

Apr19 - 389.25 / 391.25

May19 - 383.75 / 385.75

Q1-19 - 401.50 / 403.50

Q2-19 - 384.00 / 386.00

Q3-19 - 364.50 / 367.00

Q4-19 - 332.25 / 334.75

CAL19 - 371.00 / 374.00

CAL20 - 311.50 / 317.50

Singapore 180 cSt

Dec18 - 425.00 / 427.00

Jan19 - 415.00 / 417.00

Feb19 - 407.75 / 409.75

Mar19 - 403.00 / 405.00

Apr19 - 398.25 / 400.25

May19 - 393.50 / 395.50

Q1-19 - 408.50 / 410.50

Q2-19 - 393.25 / 395.25

Q3-19 - 377.00 / 379.50

Q4-19 - 348.75 / 351.25

CAL19 - 382.75 / 385.75

CAL20 - 332.50 / 338.50

Rotterdam 3.5%

Dec18 - 382.00 / 384.00

Jan19 - 375.00 / 377.00

Feb19 - 370.00 / 372.00

Mar19 - 365.25 / 367.25

Apr19 - 361.00 / 363.00

May19 - 356.50 / 358.50

Q1-19 - 370.00 / 372.00

Q2-19 - 356.25 / 358.25

Q3-19 - 337.50 / 340.00

Q4-19 - 303.25 / 305.75

CAL19 - 341.00 / 344.00

CAL20 - 287.25 / 293.25

0.1% Rott barges Gasoil

Dec18 - 607.40 / 609.40

Jan19 - 608.35 / 610.35

Feb19 - 606.83 / 608.83

Mar19 - 605.71 / 607.71

Apr19 - 606.37 / 608.37

May19 - 607.41 / 609.41

Q1-19 - 607.63 / 609.63

Q2-19 - 607.97 / 609.97

Q3-19 - 614.94 / 617.44

Q4-19 - 620.45 / 623.45

CAL19 - 615.44 / 619.44

CAL20 - 630.41 / 636.41

Sing GO 10ppm

Dec18 - 83.02 / 83.22

Jan19 - 82.91 / 83.11

Feb19 - 82.78 / 82.98

Mar19 - 82.72 / 82.92

Apr19 - 82.69 / 82.89

May19 - 82.65 / 82.85

Q1-19 - 82.70 / 83.10

Q2-19 - 82.55 / 82.95

Q3-19 - 83.00 / 83.30

Q4-19 - 83.34 / 83.74

CAL19 - 82.79 / 83.39

CAL20 - 82.93 / 83.93


Truck-to-ship (TTS) LNG bunkering at Port of Palermo. Molgas completes first LNG bunkering operation at Palermo  

Spanish energy firm carries out maiden LNG delivery at Sicilian port.

Maersk 5,900-teu vessel. Tsuneishi China delivers third methanol dual-fuel boxship in series  

Zhoushan shipbuilder hands over another 5,900-teu Maersk container vessel.

Type approval test (TAT) for ME-LGIA ammonia engine. Everllence completes type approval test for ammonia engine ahead of sea trials  

Eight classification societies oversee testing of ME-LGIA ammonia engine at Copenhagen research centre.

Zhong Ran 23 vessel. CPN bunker barge becomes first vessel listed under Hong Kong’s new quality bunkering scheme  

Zhong Ran 23 achieves listing under the Marine Department’s voluntary mass flow metering initiative.

Peder Moller, Bunker Holding. Bunker Holding posts $73m pre-tax profit amid geopolitical headwinds and board overhaul  

Marine fuels exceeds its own expectations despite 4% revenue decline.

Oilmar Board of Directors graphic. Oilmar formalises governance structure with establishment of board of directors  

Dubai-based marine fuels trader Oilmar appoints three-member board.

Henrik Andersen, Vestas Wind Systems A/S. Vestas Wind Systems CEO appointed vice chair of Bunker Holding  

Henrik Andersen joins the board of the marine fuels group with more than two decades of international business experience.

Tina Revsbech, Maersk Tankers. Maersk Tankers CEO Tina Revsbech joins Bunker Holding board  

Danish USTC Group appoints shipping veteran to subsidiary’s board of directors.

Yampu vessel. CSL delivers world’s first battery-powered self-unloading bulk carrier  

MV Yampu will transport limestone for Adbri in Australia, with full electric operation targeted by 2031.

Illustration of hydrogen fuel cell system. NYK, Yanmar and Eneos to install hydrogen fuel cell system on new Tokyo dining cruise vessel  

Three Japanese companies are collaborating to bring hydrogen propulsion to a dining cruise ship due to enter service in 2027.