Wed 14 Nov 2018, 09:38 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were down 36 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $65.11 per barrel at 06:00 GMT and U.S. WTI crude oil futures were at $55.26 per barrel, down 43 cents, or 0.8 percent, from their last settlement. Well, this market looks like it has a bigger discount than a pound shop's closing-down sale. The support seems to have evaporated almost completely - like a rug being pulled from underneath - as it's reported that the funds have shed their already dwindling long positions. We hovered just over $65 late yesterday in a day's trading that was oil's most bearish since December 2015. The drop in oil has been underlined by weaknesses in the global economy. In Japan, data confirmed the world's third-largest economy contracted in the third quarter, adding to growing signs of weakness globally, with China and Europe losing momentum. Germany is expected to report later in the day that its economy also shrank last quarter. Our friends at the API reported last night that crude stocks climbed by 7.8 million barrels in another predicted build in stocks - which I'm sure hasn't helped any pushes for a recovery after prices have taken a pounding. Hello $65, my old friend, looks like you might be around for a little while... until December perhaps.

Fuel Oil Market (Nov 13)

The front crack opened at -5.95, strengthening to -5.75, before weakening to -5.80. The Cal 19 was valued at -12.50.

Oil price reporting agency Argus has launched five new price assessments for low-sulphur marine fuels, ahead of new global rules capping the amount of sulphur in marine fuels.

The front-month 380 cSt fuel oil barge crack to Brent crude slipped on Tuesday despite a drop in crude oil prices, with some trade sources pointing to an expected rise in arbitrage arrivals into Singapore.

The December 380 cSt fuel oil barge crack to Brent crude was at a two-week low of minus $6.26 a barrel on Tuesday, compared with a discount of $6.14 a barrel on Monday.

Economic Events:

* 9am: IEA monthly Oil Market Report

* 12am: MBA Mortgage Applications, Nov. 9

* 1:30pm: U.S. CPI, Oct.

* 1:30pm: U.S. Real Avg Weekly Earnings, Oct.

* 9:30pm: API issues weekly U.S. oil inventory report (day later due to holiday)

* Genscape weekly ARA crude stockpiles report

* Adipec conference, Abu Dhabi, 3rd day of 4

Singapore 380 cSt

Dec18 - 419.75 / 421.75

Jan19 - 409.25 / 411.25

Feb19 - 400.75 / 402.75

Mar19 - 394.75 / 396.75

Apr19 - 389.25 / 391.25

May19 - 383.75 / 385.75

Q1-19 - 401.50 / 403.50

Q2-19 - 384.00 / 386.00

Q3-19 - 364.50 / 367.00

Q4-19 - 332.25 / 334.75

CAL19 - 371.00 / 374.00

CAL20 - 311.50 / 317.50

Singapore 180 cSt

Dec18 - 425.00 / 427.00

Jan19 - 415.00 / 417.00

Feb19 - 407.75 / 409.75

Mar19 - 403.00 / 405.00

Apr19 - 398.25 / 400.25

May19 - 393.50 / 395.50

Q1-19 - 408.50 / 410.50

Q2-19 - 393.25 / 395.25

Q3-19 - 377.00 / 379.50

Q4-19 - 348.75 / 351.25

CAL19 - 382.75 / 385.75

CAL20 - 332.50 / 338.50

Rotterdam 3.5%

Dec18 - 382.00 / 384.00

Jan19 - 375.00 / 377.00

Feb19 - 370.00 / 372.00

Mar19 - 365.25 / 367.25

Apr19 - 361.00 / 363.00

May19 - 356.50 / 358.50

Q1-19 - 370.00 / 372.00

Q2-19 - 356.25 / 358.25

Q3-19 - 337.50 / 340.00

Q4-19 - 303.25 / 305.75

CAL19 - 341.00 / 344.00

CAL20 - 287.25 / 293.25

0.1% Rott barges Gasoil

Dec18 - 607.40 / 609.40

Jan19 - 608.35 / 610.35

Feb19 - 606.83 / 608.83

Mar19 - 605.71 / 607.71

Apr19 - 606.37 / 608.37

May19 - 607.41 / 609.41

Q1-19 - 607.63 / 609.63

Q2-19 - 607.97 / 609.97

Q3-19 - 614.94 / 617.44

Q4-19 - 620.45 / 623.45

CAL19 - 615.44 / 619.44

CAL20 - 630.41 / 636.41

Sing GO 10ppm

Dec18 - 83.02 / 83.22

Jan19 - 82.91 / 83.11

Feb19 - 82.78 / 82.98

Mar19 - 82.72 / 82.92

Apr19 - 82.69 / 82.89

May19 - 82.65 / 82.85

Q1-19 - 82.70 / 83.10

Q2-19 - 82.55 / 82.95

Q3-19 - 83.00 / 83.30

Q4-19 - 83.34 / 83.74

CAL19 - 82.79 / 83.39

CAL20 - 82.93 / 83.93


Rolls-Royce mtu engine test bench. Rolls-Royce Power Systems switches German engine test facilities to HVO fuel  

Company saved 3,200 tonnes of CO2 by end of 2025 after switching to renewable diesel.

MSC Migsan delivery ceremony. Changhong International delivers final LNG dual-fuel container ship 205 days early  

Chinese shipbuilder completes 10-vessel series for MSC with delivery of 11,500-teu MSC Migsan.

Seoul city skyline. Oilmar seeks bunker traders in Seoul as part of global expansion  

Dubai-based marine fuel trader recruiting mid-level and senior professionals for South Korean operations.

Morten Thomas Jacobsen, GEA. Global Ethanol Association to present on ethanol marine fuel at London shipping expo  

Morten Thomas Jacobsen will discuss ethanol fuel trials and maritime decarbonisation challenges in June.

Adrian Tolson, IBIA. IBIA warns of structural shift in marine fuel market following Arabian Gulf tensions  

Association chair says geopolitical disruptions signal lasting changes to bunker supply dynamics and pricing.

HMM Hamburg vessel. Rotterdam bunker volumes plunge 25% in first quarter amid regulatory shifts  

Fossil fuel sales decline sharply while alternative fuels show modest growth in Dutch port.

Camellia Dream vessel. Norsepower completes factory tests for 18 rotor sails bound for Airbus fleet  

Wind propulsion units cleared for installation on LD Armateurs vessels targeting 50% emissions reduction.

Frankie Russ vessel. Ernst Russ acquires four chemical tankers with five-year charters worth $126m  

Hamburg shipowner enters tanker segment with methanol-ready newbuildings delivering from Q4 2026.

Ammonia fuel system component. Wärtsilä boosts ammonia engine power output to match LNG equivalent  

Finnish technology group raises Wärtsilä 25 Ammonia engine output, enabling simpler vessel designs.

Aerial view of a cruiseship at sea. Fincantieri secures order for three LNG-fuelled cruise ships from Princess Cruises  

Italian shipbuilder to construct vessels at Monfalcone yard, with deliveries scheduled through 2039.