Mon 22 Oct 2018, 09:47 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were at $80.26 a barrel at 06:46 GMT, up 48 cents, or 0.6 percent, above their last close, and U.S. WTI crude futures were at $69.60 a barrel, up 48 cents, or 0.7 percent. If the oil market this morning was a radio music show, it would be a 1970s classics show - full of ones we've all heard before and know well. I'm sure, for any end users, their requests would be 'Killing Me Softly' or perhaps 'Stayin' Alive', and any talk of fundamentals - and maybe demand forecasts - not living up to expectations simply 'Too Much, Too Little, Too Late'. OPEC are singing loudly 'Let's Get It On' as they have watched this market 'Rise' in Herb Alpert style, and a big grin as they 'Image' a market of $100. The Iran sanctions saga raises the question: 'Will It Go Round in Circles' until 'The Joker' in the U.S. decides exactly what his foreign policy is going to be? For most of us, its it's just a time to say 'Babe', keep calm, 'No More Tears (Enough is Enough)', the 'Good Times' will return. In normal speak, Iran has been the main driver of this slight move up this morning, but an increase in the U.S. oil rig count reported by Baker Hughes has kept a lid on the price rise so far. Time for a double-shot Monday morning coffee.

Fuel Oil Market (Oct 19)

The front crack opened at -7.70, weakening to -7.80, before strengthening to -7.60. The Cal 19 was valued at -12.80

Asia's 380 cSt time spread climbed for a third straight session on Friday to a near two-week high as tight near-term supplies of finished grade fuel oil continued to lend support.

The Nov/Dec time spread for 380 cSt fuel oil widened its premium to $7 a tonne on Friday, up 25 cents a tonne from the previous session and its highest since Oct. 9.

China's Ministry of Commerce approved bonded fuel oil blending businesses in the free-trade zone area located in the city of Zhoushan, in Zhejiang province, according to a statement published on the ministry website on Friday.

Economic data/events (Times are UK)

* 1:30pm: Bloomberg forecast of U.S. waterborne LPG exports

* 1:30pm: Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index, Sept.

* Bloomberg proprietary forecast of Cushing crude inventory change; plus weekly analyst survey of crude, gasoline, distillate inventories before Wednesday's EIA weekly inventory report

* OPEC Board of Governors meeting, discussion of administrative issues, 2nd day of 3

Singapore 380 cSt

Nov18 - 490.25 / 492.25

Dec18 - 483.00 / 485.00

Jan19 - 476.00 / 478.00

Feb19 - 469.50 / 471.50

Mar19 - 464.25 / 466.25

Apr19 - 459.25 / 461.25

Q1-19 - 470.00 / 472.00

Q2-19 - 454.00 / 456.00

Q3-19 - 433.75 / 436.25

Q4-19 - 400.00 / 402.50

CAL19 - 438.00 / 441.00

CAL20 - 369.50 / 375.50

Singapore 180 cSt

Nov18 - 497.50 / 499.50

Dec18 - 491.25 / 493.25

Jan19 - 486.00 / 488.00

Feb19 - 479.50 / 481.50

Mar19 - 474.50 / 476.50

Apr19 - 469.75 / 471.75

Q1-19 - 480.00 / 482.00

Q2-19 - 465.00 / 467.00

Q3-19 - 447.75 / 450.25

Q4-19 - 421.25 / 423.75

CAL19 - 452.25 / 455.25

CAL20 - 392.50 / 398.50

Rotterdam 3.5%

Nov18 - 459.25 / 461.25

Dec18 - 452.25 / 454.25

Jan19 - 447.50 / 449.50

Feb19 - 443.00 / 445.00

Mar19 - 438.50 / 440.50

Apr19 - 434.25 / 436.25

Q1-19 - 443.00 / 445.00

Q2-19 - 429.75 / 431.75

Q3-19 - 409.75 / 412.25

Q4-19 - 375.75 / 378.25

CAL19 - 413.50 / 416.50

CAL20 - 347.00 / 353.00


Svitzer Balder vessel. Battery-methanol harbour tug completes sea trials ahead of Gothenburg deployment  

Svitzer Balder is claimed to be the most powerful electric escort tug in the world.

Launching ceremony of Nave Orbit vessel. Changhong International launches fourth LR2 tanker for Navios  

Chinese shipbuilder floats 115,000-tonne LR2/Aframax product tanker with methanol and LNG conversion capability.

Nippon Yuka Kogyo logo. Nippon Yuka Kogyo launches lubrication oil analysis service for ammonia-fuelled engines  

Japanese company offers condition monitoring service to support adoption of ammonia as a marine fuel.

Steel cutting ceremony of vessel with builder's hull no. S1128. CIMC Pacific Offshore Engineering advances two 20,000-cbm LNG bunkering vessel projects  

Two sister vessels for Singapore and Luxembourg owners reach construction milestones in China.

MPA and SSA logo side by side. Singapore maritime sector to accelerate AI adoption under new partnership  

MPA and SSA sign MOU to support AI implementation across shipping operations and bunkering.

Aerial view of a ship-to-ship (STS) transfer operation. Portland Port receives licence for LNG ship-to-ship transfer operations  

UK port can now support direct LNG transfers, reducing transit times and streamlining logistics operations.

Martin White, CEO of Stream Marine Group. Seafarer training must match pace of alternative fuel adoption, says Stream Marine Training  

Training provider highlights regulatory gap as methanol, ammonia and hydrogen gain traction in shipping.

Anji Luck vessel. Jiangnan Shipyard delivers final methanol-ready car carrier to Anji Logistics  

The 9,500-vehicle capacity vessel completes a 12-ship series built for SAIC’s logistics arm since 2022.

Bunker vessel alongside a ship during fuel transfer. Nippon Biofuel secures METI funding for Africa-based marine biofuel supply chain  

Japanese company to establish Jatropha cultivation and biofuel production facilities in Mozambique and Ghana.

Everllence B&W 6G60ME-LGIA HPSCR engine. Everllence’s ammonia-fuelled engine passes factory acceptance test ahead of October delivery  

Engine built by HHI-EMD will power Eastern Pacific Shipping’s very large ammonia carriers.