Mon 8 Oct 2018, 08:57 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were at $83.26 per barrel at 0352 GMT, down 90 cents, or 1.1 percent, from their last close, and U.S. WTI crude futures were down 54 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $73.80 a barrel. Well done all those people for attempting to limit your supplies of Iranian crude. Your efforts, which haven't necessarily caused the physical effects as much as the speculative effects seen in the futures market. However, for good effort, as someone who did try to cut Iranian oil imports, you will get an American gold star with the possibility of an exemption from having to do it anymore. Right, so how does that work? Surely it's like the worst diet ever, The Brian Butterfield Diet - for those of you who are bored and want a new YouTube video to search - where you try really hard all week to eat well and cut out 'bad' foods, torturing yourself with celery and low-fat brands of everything, but come Saturday, to reward yourself for trying so hard, you can eat whatever you like for the whole day: pizza, burgers, bonbons, and wash it down with a cool glass of full fat Iranian oil. At least you can rest assured that this market does react to the major news: Iranian supply cut, up we go; Iranian supply less cut, we come a bit down. I imagine we will whip about a bit until the U.S. qualify exactly what they mean when they say they are 'looking at exemptions'. Until then, $80-85 we will stay. Good day.

Fuel Oil Market (Oct 05)

The front crack opened at -10.70, strengthening to -10.55, before weakening to -10.75, closing -10.55. The Cal 19 was valued at -15.05.

Undeterred by rising crude prices, the November 380 cSt barge fuel oil crack on Friday extended gains for a fourth straight session as concerns of tightening supplies from looming U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports from next month continued to boost sentiment.

The November 380 cSt barge crack was trading at about minus $10.75 a barrel to Brent crude during Asia trade, up from Thursday's close at minus $10.86 a barrel, Refinitiv data showed.

The last time the front-month crack discount was narrower was on Aug. 23 when Brent crude traded at around $74 a barrel.

Meanwhile, fuel oil inventories in the Amsterdam-RotterdamAntwerp (ARA) fell this week following increased shipments of the fuel to Singapore, where weekly fuel oil inventories held steady.

Economic data/events (Times are UK)

* U.S. Columbus Day holiday; oil futures exchanges remain open

* BTC Azeri loading program for November

Singapore 380 cSt

Nov18 - 488.25 / 490.25

Dec18 - 482.50 / 484.50

Jan19 - 476.75 / 478.75

Feb19 - 471.25 / 473.25

Mar19 - 466.25 / 468.25

Apr19 - 461.50 / 463.50

Q1-19 - 471.25 / 473.25

Q2-19 - 456.25 / 458.25

Q3-19 - 436.00 / 438.50

Q4-19 - 398.25 / 400.75

CAL19 - 440.00 / 443.00

CAL20 - 366.50 / 372.50

Singapore 180 cSt

Nov18 - 495.25 / 497.25

Dec18 - 490.75 / 492.75

Jan19 - 486.75 / 488.75

Feb19 - 481.75 / 483.75

Mar19 - 476.75 / 478.75

Apr19 - 472.50 / 474.50

Q1-19 - 481.75 / 483.75

Q2-19 - 467.75 / 469.75

Q3-19 - 450.00 / 452.50

Q4-19 - 419.00 / 421.50

CAL19 - 454.00 / 457.00

CAL20 - 388.00 / 394.00

Rotterdam 3.5%

Nov18 - 460.00 / 462.00

Dec18 - 454.75 / 456.75

Jan19 - 451.00 / 453.00

Feb19 - 447.50 / 449.50

Mar19 - 443.75 / 445.75

Apr19 - 440.00 / 442.00

Q1-19 - 447.50 / 449.50

Q2-19 - 435.25 / 437.25

Q3-19 - 412.00 / 414.50

Q4-19 - 372.00 / 374.50

CAL19 - 416.00 / 419.00

CAL20 - 347.25 / 353.25


Areion vessel. Dorian LPG takes delivery of dual-fuel VLGC capable of carrying ammonia  

The 93,000-cbm Areion can run on LPG or fuel oil and transport ammonia cargoes.

FSRU Toscana alongside Green Zeebrugge vessel. RINA awards ISCC EU certification to OLT Offshore LNG Toscana for bio-LNG supply  

Certification enables bio-LNG use in the EU as a renewable fuel under RED II and RED III directives.

World Shipping Council at IMO meeting. WSC calls for safe maritime corridor as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped in the Persian Gulf  

Industry body urges IMO member states to establish safe passage and supply access.

Graphic promoting Auramarine webinar titled 'Sustainable Fueling Part 3: Ammonia - next alternative fuel in marine'. Auramarine to host webinar on ammonia as marine fuel in April  

Finnish firm will explore ammonia’s role in maritime decarbonisation at its third spring webinar.

Front cover of study by WinGD and Envision Energy titled 'Renewable Fuel Economics: An OPEX illustration based on current costs'. Green ammonia could reach cost parity with VLSFO and LNG by 2050, study finds  

WinGD and Envision Energy study projects green ammonia operational costs competitive with conventional marine fuels.

Elenger Marine's LNG bunkering vessel Optimus alongside Brittany Ferries’ Saint-Malo. Bureau Veritas verifies methane emissions on Brittany Ferries’ LNG vessels  

Verification enables ferry operator to report measured methane slip instead of regulatory default values.

Map showing existing and planned Emission Control Areas (ECAs). Alliance calls for urgent black carbon action as new Arctic emission control areas take effect  

Canadian Arctic and Norwegian Sea ECAs now in force, with compliance deadline set for March 2027.

Artistic impression of battery-electric ferry for operation on Perth’s Swan River. Lloyd’s Register to class Western Australia’s first electric ferry fleet  

Echo Marine Group partners with Lloyd’s Register on five battery-electric ferries for Perth’s Swan River.

Thomas Kazakos, secretary general of The International Chamber of Shipping (ICS). ICS condemns Middle East shipping attacks as 20,000 seafarers remain trapped  

Industry body calls for urgent state action to resupply vessels and enable crew changes.

Molslinjen ferry illustration. Molslinjen order propels Australia to top of battery vessel production rankings  

Danish ferry operator’s three-catamaran order at Incat Tasmania shifts global manufacturing landscape, analysis shows.