Fri 12 Aug 2011 14:41

Report forecasts volatile prices ahead


Companies are urged to consider using the 'expected volatility' to enter hedging agreements.



In light of recent market events, Danish firm A/S Global Risk Management has published its latest financial update for the month of August.

In the document, Global Risk forecasts volatile oil prices ahead and makes the following key points in its executive summary:

* Downgrade of US will not mean default – however higher interest is to be expected.

* Higher rates means lower growth – and thus lower oil consumption.

* ECB to copy-paste FED on QE – dangerous waters.

* German sovereign debt – flight to quality.

* Debt to GDP – not always a ratio to control a country’s leverage.

* Long term – watch those cash holdings.

In the financial update Global Risk also says: "Market memory is often very short, and especially where a huge number of speculators and computer trading are involved. We therefore expect oil prices to increase in volatility over the coming months. As September and October are months where equities and oil usually move upwards, we recommend clients to consider using the expected volatility to enter hedging agreements."

Looking in the long-term, the company commented: "In a longer timeframe we urge clients to consider the rather large cash holdings laying around in hedge funds and banks. At the first sign of the slightest turn in the underling economy, they will jump into oil once again, sparking volatility. The final remarks in this financial Update goes to John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946): 'The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent'."


Marius Kairys, CEO of Elenger Sp. z o.o. Elenger enters Polish LNG bunkering market with ferry refuelling operation  

Baltic energy firm completes maiden truck-to-ship LNG delivery in Gdansk.

Samsung Heavy Industries (SHI) virtual reality (VR) training program developed in collaboration with Evergreen. SHI develops VR training solutions for Evergreen's methanol-fuelled ships  

Shipbuilder creates virtual reality program for 16,500 TEU boxship operations.

Illustratic image of Itochu's newbuild ammonia bunkering vessel, scheduled for delivery in September 2027. Itochu orders 5,000 cbm ammonia bunker vessel  

Japanese firm targets Singapore demonstration after October 2027, with Zeta Bunkering lined up to perform deliveries.

Bunkering of the Glovis Selene car carrier. Shell completes first LNG bunkering operation with Hyundai Glovis in Singapore  

Energy major supplies fuel to South Korean logistics firm's dual-fuel vessel.

Orient Overseas Container Line (OOCL) vessel. CPN delivers first B30 marine gasoil to OOCL in Hong Kong  

Chimbusco Pan Nation claims to be first in region to supply all grades of ISCC-EU certified marine biofuel.

The Buffalo 404 barge, owned by Buffalo Marine Service Inc., performing a bunker delivery. TFG Marine installs first ISO-certified mass flow meter on US Gulf bunker barge  

Installation marks expansion of company's digitalisation programme across global fleet.

Sogestran's fuel supply vessel, the Anatife, at the port of Belle-Île-en-Mer. Sogestran's HVO-powered tanker achieves 78% CO2 reduction on French island fuel runs  

Small tanker Anatife saves fuel while supplying Belle-Île and Île d'Yeu.

Crowley 1,400 TEU LNG-powered containership, Tiscapa. Crowley deploys LNG-powered boxship Tiscapa for Caribbean and Central American routes  

Vessel is the third in company's Avance Class fleet to enter service.

The inland LNG bunker vessel LNG London. LNG London completes 1,000 bunkering operations in Rotterdam and Antwerp  

Delivery vessel reaches milestone after five years of operations across ARA hub.

The M.V. COSCO Shipping Yangpu, China's first methanol dual-fuel containership. COSCO vessel completes maiden green methanol bunkering at Yangpu  

China's first methanol dual-fuel containership refuels with green methanol derived from urban waste.


↑  Back to Top


 Recommended