Wed 28 Sep 2011, 14:05 GMT

Global Vision Market Report



Oil prices fell in early morning trading, market participants eyeing the development of the euro and equity markets for direction. European stocks initially traded lower, as investors reacted to the large gains of the last couple of days with caution amid signs of division within the euro zone over the methods needed to help Greecethrough its funding crisis. This follows a report in the Financial Times that seven of the euro zone's 17 countries want the private sector to incur more of the cost of bailing out Greeceout than was previously agreed. At midday oil pared most of its earlier losses, coming close to its first resistance, supported by a falling dollar and the recovery in equities.

Yesterday, WTI crude futures staged their biggest one-day gain in more than four months and the brent jumped more than 3% Tuesday on hopes that a definitive solution to euro zone debt worries was finally in the works. Oil prices started to rise in electronic morning trading on the bullish technical constellation and a better-than-expected German consumer climate indicator. But the main driving force behind the rally was the hope that European leaders could craft a solution for the euro zone debt crisis. After first resistance lines were breached, technically driven buying orders pushed the oil complex higher and higher and futures at ICE and NYMEX settled higher on the day.

ICE Gasoil contract for October delivery settled at 906.75 dollars on Tuesday. This was 16.25 dollars above Monday's settlement. With some 59,300 contracts the traded volume was about on average.

The Stochastic indicator is still bullish at all charts this morning but Tuesday's price rally has taken much of the bullish potential out of the market. Most investors should have covered their short positions by now. So technical analysts reckon that the downside risk remains and that prices will follow their bearish medium-term trendchannels as soon as the technical upward correction has finished where the strong 85.00 dollar resistance for the WTI crude is seen as the end of the line. The WTI crude is supported at 80.90 dollars today, its first resistance is seen at 84.75 dollars. The Brent's first resistance is seen at 107.00 dollars, its first support is at 104.50 dollars.

U.S.

Nymex Access losing: Oil futures trade lower in East Asiaand Globex electronic trade this morning, holding their breath after Tuesday's sharp gains, weighed down by a stronger dollar as investors sought once again refuge in the greenback and took the chance of a peak in prices to take some profit. The traded volume is well above average.

API's: Crude oil +0.6; distillates -0.2; gasoline +4.6 million barrels vs previous week. Refinery utilization +1.5%

DOE's; due out tonight

Forecasts: Crude oil -0.1; distillates +0.7; gasoline +1.1 million barrels vs previous week.

Houston (ex-wharf indications 26-9)

380cst $615
180cst $659
MGO $908

Very tight avails for 180 cst

New Orleans (ex-wharf indications 26-9)

380cst $617
180cst $661
MGO $911

Singapore (correct as of 1430hrs LT - delivered indications)

Crude is gaining still, but slowing with WTI +$1.20. Singapore paper is reflecting it with +$4.10 for 180cst and +$4.25 for 380cst for Oct, and for Nov 180 cst +$4.10 and 380cst +$4.25 with MGO Oct contracts at +$1.36 and for Nov at +$1.32. The cargo market is reacting to the bullish sentiment, gaining with 180cst +$15.31, 380cst +$14.79 and MGO +$2.67.

The Singapore fuel oil markets rebounded more than $15.00 during the Platts window erasing earlier loss. The delivered bunker premiums remains around $15.00 above cargo prices yesterday as crude strength continued after the window as sellers were more cautiously selling. Bunker fuel oil swaps gained in a range of $9.50- 10.50 along the curve yesterday. Gains were app. $1.00 higher in Singapore. This morning both markets are trading higher.

High premiums for prompt deliveries.

380 cst $640
180 cst $650
MDO $912

Fujairah (delivered indications 28-9)

380cst $647
180cst $670
MGO $1059

Avails issue are sustaining the market.

ARA (Amsterdam - Rotterdam - Antwerp)

The Demand in the Northwest European market was supported Tuesday on stronger bunker fuel oil values that tracked a $2/barrel rise in ICE Brent for November delivery, sources said. Bullish sentiment on the oil market was supported by some hopes that a Eurozone rescue plan could be found, following talks by G20 leaders and the International Monetary Fund. Rotterdamsaw healthy levels of trading with some buyers keen to secure some volumes on firming fuel oil prices and ongoing high sulfur fuel oil shortages. In the MOC 1% 628-630 were the levels traded, with hs 607-609.50 levels traded.

Rotterdam

Indications for delivered bunkers:

380cst : $ 616
(1.0 %) :$ 636
180cst: $ 642
(1.0 %):$ 663
MGO 0.1%S: $ 915

MGO  

TMS Tankers logo. Lloyd’s Register delivers fleet-wide energy transition roadmap for TMS Tankers  

LR Advisory maps vessel-level compliance risk and decarbonisation pathways across the Greek owner’s tanker fleet.

Dr Prapisala Thepsithar, GCMD. GCMD shares biofuel assurance and green finance insights at Hong Kong shipping decarbonisation forum  

The Global Centre for Maritime Decarbonisation presented pilot findings on biofuels and energy efficiency financing.

Laura Maersk ethanol bunkering graphic. Maersk conducts large-scale ethanol bunkering trial on Laura Maersk in Rotterdam  

A.P. Moller – Maersk has conducted a barge-delivered ethanol bunkering operation as part of ongoing fuel trials.

Luminara vessel truck-to-ship bunkering. MOL Techno-Trade completes first LNG bunkering for international cruise ship in Hokkaido  

Truck-to-ship LNG operation at Hakodate marks first such supply to an international cruise vessel in Hokkaido.

Acta Gemini vessel. Acta Marine takes delivery of methanol dual-fuel CSOV Acta Gemini for RWE wind farm charter  

The vessel will support operations at the Sofia Offshore Wind Farm at Dogger Bank.

Yeva Wood and Kirsten Møller Jørgensen. Malik Supply expands Danish team with bunker trader and finance hire  

Danish bunker supplier Malik Supply adds two new staff across its Fredericia and Aalborg offices.

AiP award ceremony for a 10,000-teu biofuel-powered container ship. HJSC wins AiP for 10,000-teu biofuel-powered container ship design  

South Korean shipbuilder HJ Shipbuilding & Construction receives classification society approval for its biofuel vessel design at Posidonia.

Active vessel. Capital Clean Energy Carriers takes delivery of LNG carrier and dual-fuel gas carrier, secures five new charters  

Athens-based CCEC expands its fleet and pushes contracted revenue backlog to $3.1bn.

VPS logo. Fuel quality management for vessels in extended idle: Arabian Gulf, Gulf of Oman and adjacent anchorages | Rahul Choudhuri, VPS  

Managing fuel quality deterioration following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Person signing a document. Agastya Green Fuels signs 250,000 t/yr e-methanol offtake deal with Sri Lanka’s SAR Group  

Indian producer and Sri Lankan maritime firm agree long-term green methanol supply partnership.