Tue 11 Dec 2018, 10:39 GMT

Oil and fuel oil hedging market update


By the Oil Desk at Freight Investor Services.


Image credit: Freight Investor Services (FIS)
Commentary

Brent crude oil futures were at $60 per barrel at 0746 GMT, up 3 cents from their last close, and U.S. WTI crude futures were at $50.98 per barrel, down 2 cents. There's finally some good news. Chinese crude oil imports surged to an all-time high of 10.43 million bpd last month, up by 8.5 percent compared to November 2017 and beating the previous record of 9.61 million bpd, which was set just a month earlier and was driven by smaller independent refiners who were rushing to fulfil their 2018 oil import quotas before they expire. There was also the bullish news of another classic Libyan shutdown, which will take out some 73,000 bpd out of world oil production. However, as the European markets have opened, we have done nothing but fall. Maybe that says something about European cynicism and Eastern optimism, or perhaps I am reading too much into it. It seems that the production cut news is simply some tape tied around the stilts holding this oil house upon a sheer cliff over a stormy sea of overproduction and wavering world economy. Things could be worse, you could have woken up and realised that you're Theresa May, you have zero friends, and there's no light at the end of the tunnel. Although she must have a huge number of airmiles from her endless travelling to Europe that she can spend on some great walking holidays once she's been kicked out of No. 10. Silver lining, Prime Minister.

Fuel Oil Market (Dec 10)

The front crack opened at -6.75, before strengthening to - 6.60. The Cal 19 was valued at -11.00.

Asia's prompt-month time-spread for 380 cSt fuel oil extended their declines on Monday, weighed down by a steady growth in Singapore fuel oil inventories over recent weeks and pressure of firm selling ahead of the holiday season this month.

The Dec/Jan 380 cSt time-spread slipped to about $7.75 a tonne on Monday from about $8.25 a tonne on Friday, broker sources said.

Looking further ahead, however, the fuel oil market structure was firmer on Monday as expectations of tightening supplies following OPEC's announcement to curb production and amid mounting pressures on Iranian oil exports provided support.

Economic Events:

* U.S. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook, 5pm

* The API will issue its weekly U.S. oil inventory report today

Singapore 380 cSt

Jan19 - 366.75 / 368.75

Feb19 - 362.00 / 364.00

Mar19 - 358.25 / 360.25

Apr19 - 354.00 / 356.00

May19 - 349.50 / 351.50

Jun19 - 344.50 / 346.50

Q1-19 - 362.50 / 364.50

Q2-19 - 349.50 / 351.50

Q3-19 - 332.75 / 335.25

Q4-19 - 307.50 / 310.00

CAL19 - 339.75 / 342.75

CAL20 - 289.25 / 295.25

Singapore 180 cSt

Jan19 - 370.50 / 372.50

Feb19 - 366.75 / 368.75

Mar19 - 364.25 / 366.25

Apr19 - 360.25 / 362.25

May19 - 356.00 / 358.00

Jun19 - 351.75 / 353.75

Q1-19 - 367.25 / 369.25

Q2-19 - 356.25 / 358.25

Q3-19 - 341.75 / 344.25

Q4-19 - 322.50 / 325.00

CAL19 - 349.25 / 352.25

CAL20 - 309.00 / 315.00

Rotterdam 3.5%

Jan19 - 337.50 / 339.50

Feb19 - 334.75 / 336.75

Mar19 - 331.75 / 333.75

Apr19 - 328.50 / 330.50

May19 - 324.50 / 326.50

Jun19 - 320.25 / 322.25

Q1-19 - 334.75 / 336.75

Q2-19 - 324.50 / 326.50

Q3-19 - 307.75 / 310.25

Q4-19 - 280.00 / 282.50

CAL19 - 311.75 / 314.75

CAL20 - 264.25 / 270.25

0.1% Rott barges Gasoil

Jan19 - 543.25 / 545.25

Feb19 - 543.74 / 545.74

Mar19 - 544.50 / 546.50

Apr19 - 545.89 / 547.89

May19 - 547.45 / 549.45

Jun19 - 549.54 / 551.54

Q1-19 - 543.83 / 545.83

Q2-19 - 547.63 / 549.63

Q3-19 - 556.05 / 558.55

Q4-19 - 561.82 / 564.82

CAL19 - 551.89 / 555.89

CAL20 - 576.36 / 582.36

Sing GO 10ppm

Jan19 - 72.75 / 72.95

Feb19 - 73.37 / 73.57

Mar19 - 73.87 / 74.07

Apr19 - 74.17 / 74.37

May19 - 74.37 / 74.57

Jun19 - 74.48 / 74.68

Q1-19 - 73.23 / 73.63

Q2-19 - 74.11 / 74.51

Q3-19 - 75.02 / 75.32

Q4-19 - 75.52 / 75.92

CAL19 - 74.36 / 74.96

CAL20 - 75.90 / 76.50

BP  

TMS Tankers logo. Lloyd’s Register delivers fleet-wide energy transition roadmap for TMS Tankers  

LR Advisory maps vessel-level compliance risk and decarbonisation pathways across the Greek owner’s tanker fleet.

Dr Prapisala Thepsithar, GCMD. GCMD shares biofuel assurance and green finance insights at Hong Kong shipping decarbonisation forum  

The Global Centre for Maritime Decarbonisation presented pilot findings on biofuels and energy efficiency financing.

Laura Maersk ethanol bunkering graphic. Maersk conducts large-scale ethanol bunkering trial on Laura Maersk in Rotterdam  

A.P. Moller – Maersk has conducted a barge-delivered ethanol bunkering operation as part of ongoing fuel trials.

Luminara vessel truck-to-ship bunkering. MOL Techno-Trade completes first LNG bunkering for international cruise ship in Hokkaido  

Truck-to-ship LNG operation at Hakodate marks first such supply to an international cruise vessel in Hokkaido.

Acta Gemini vessel. Acta Marine takes delivery of methanol dual-fuel CSOV Acta Gemini for RWE wind farm charter  

The vessel will support operations at the Sofia Offshore Wind Farm at Dogger Bank.

Yeva Wood and Kirsten Møller Jørgensen. Malik Supply expands Danish team with bunker trader and finance hire  

Danish bunker supplier Malik Supply adds two new staff across its Fredericia and Aalborg offices.

AiP award ceremony for a 10,000-teu biofuel-powered container ship. HJSC wins AiP for 10,000-teu biofuel-powered container ship design  

South Korean shipbuilder HJ Shipbuilding & Construction receives classification society approval for its biofuel vessel design at Posidonia.

Active vessel. Capital Clean Energy Carriers takes delivery of LNG carrier and dual-fuel gas carrier, secures five new charters  

Athens-based CCEC expands its fleet and pushes contracted revenue backlog to $3.1bn.

VPS logo. Fuel quality management for vessels in extended idle: Arabian Gulf, Gulf of Oman and adjacent anchorages | Rahul Choudhuri, VPS  

Managing fuel quality deterioration following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Person signing a document. Agastya Green Fuels signs 250,000 t/yr e-methanol offtake deal with Sri Lanka’s SAR Group  

Indian producer and Sri Lankan maritime firm agree long-term green methanol supply partnership.